Nigeria's aviation sector entered 2021 still reeling from the near-total shutdown of 2020, when domestic flights were grounded for three months and international travel was suspended for even longer under COVID-19 restrictions. The year that followed was defined by a gradual, uneven recovery, punctuated by moments of genuine progress and fresh setbacks tied to the ongoing pandemic.

Early Signs of Normalisation

February brought a significant milestone with the Nigerian Civil Aviation Authority's decision to lift its ban on the Boeing 737 MAX, nearly two years after grounding the aircraft type following two fatal crashes abroad. The move cleared the way for Nigerian carriers with the aircraft on order, including Air Peace and Green Africa Airways, to eventually bring it into domestic service.

The most anticipated development of the year came in August, when Green Africa Airways finally commenced commercial operations after more than two years of delays, becoming the first genuinely new entrant to Nigeria's domestic passenger market in some time. Its ATR 72-600 turboprops began serving a modest initial network from Lagos, adding a further low-cost option for domestic travellers.

A Reminder of Fragility

Just as the sector appeared to be finding its footing, the emergence of the Omicron coronavirus variant in November triggered a fresh wave of international travel restrictions. The United Kingdom's decision to place Nigeria on its travel red list, followed swiftly by similar measures from Canada and Saudi Arabia, prompted a reciprocal ban from the Nigerian government and renewed disruption to international connectivity in the final weeks of the year.

The UK's decision to lift the red list restriction in mid-December, once Omicron had achieved widespread community transmission within Britain itself, offered some relief, but the episode underscored how exposed Nigeria's aviation sector remained to decisions made well beyond its own borders.

Looking Ahead

As 2021 drew to a close, industry stakeholders described a sector that had made real progress toward normalisation compared to the depths of 2020, but one that remained some distance from a full recovery. Passenger confidence, international connectivity, and airline finances all showed signs of gradual improvement over the course of the year, even as the events of its final weeks served as a reminder that the pandemic's disruptive effects on global aviation were far from over.